
By Betty Maina
It is so tragic that Kenya keeps going round in circles when it comes to power issues. Just when all Presidential Candidates have promised Kenyans lower Energy costs, Kenya Power and Lighting Company (KP) is once again knocking on the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC)’s door with a proposal for power tariff increases. ERC has subsequently sent an invitation to stakeholders advising of a public forum on Monday February 25, 2013 to discuss the same. KPLC has submitted an application for approval to the ERC for electricity energy tariff review to apply across all the consumer category specific tariffs.
ERC should not grant this review at
this time, but should give KPLC some preconditions to meet before a review is
considered most of which include fulfilling the promises of 2008. KPLC
registers a lot of profits each year from revenue collected from consumers and
yet projects to expand capacity are still stagnant.
Without sounding like a broken record
industry consumes 60% of the power in Kenya and therefore the increase will
disproportionately negatively affect industry and consumers of industrial
products will bear the brunt of the
resultant increase. So are we forever
going to be involved in a vicious circle of power increases and price
increases?
The same issue of improving global
competitiveness of our locally manufactured products always comes to mind when
these power increases are mooted. It would be foolhardy to think that when
Kenyan products are failing to compete at the current rates there would be any positive
change if power tariffs are increased and yet we still continue to shoot
ourselves in the foot.
When will it sink in the minds of
anyone in authority in this country that the solution to our energy issues is
not in the increase in tariffs but in expediting the completion of alternative
energy resources as well as promoting more investment into the energy sector?
Like all businesses, Kenya Power’s revenue growth
should not come from price increases alone. KP power revenue requirement should
come from organic growth in customer numbers and volume of sales and not from
increasing electricity energy tariffs.
All the presidential aspirants have promised Kenyans
cheaper power. It is not appropriate to consider raises at this point before
the eventual winner of the Presidential race is voted in and has time to
implement their ideas and proposals that would lead to a decrease in energy
costs.
The planned increase would negatively affect Kenya’s
competitiveness. With the proposed tariff review to take effect from March 2013
(should KP be successful), at current fuel cost levels, average tariffs would
increase by an average 40%. Given the centrality of power in production, which
economy can afford 40% adjustments in prices willy nilly?
Already, industrial
growth has been affected by the 2008 electricity tariff review. The manufacturing
sector grew by a disappointing 3.3% in 2011 compared to 4.4% in 2010. This
translates to a decline of 25% in industrial growth which mainly attributable
to energy costs and other primary input costs.
If the increases
sail through the country has to brace itself for a massive exodus of
manufacturing companies to countries that have cheaper energy costs such as
Ethiopia, Egypt, Tanzania and Uganda whose electricity costs are USc 3/kw,
USc5/kw, USc9/kw and USc 18.6 respectively
compared to Kenya’s current USc18.7/kw. If KP’s is allowed to increase costs, this
shall rise to USc 28. Such a move would result in giant losses of jobs and
ultimately increase in poverty levels, slow economic growth and negatively
impact one of the goals of Vision 2030 of Kenya becoming an industrialized
country.
The arguments presented by KP to support the
application are without basis.
The last time electricity energy
tariffs were reviewed was in the year 2008. The increase was granted on the understanding
that KPLC wanted to embark on new
projects that would result in system efficiency to avoid outage and to reduce system losses to no more than 15%. The
promises of 2008 have not been fulfilled and they are projecting a gloomier
picture of an even higher system loss and one wonders whether the power
authority is operating in a globalised economy or are sitting on an island in
an unknown world where issues of pragmatism and competency in managing
resources do not exist.
Of the 13 projects KPLC argued for an adjustment of
the tariff for in 2008, only 5 have been fully completed. The rest are all
behind schedule. Therefore, additional revenue for the utility will mean there
will be redundant capital as it can be noted projects do not come in as
projected thus there is no need for paying for future projects now. KPLC needs
to use the revenue from previous increase to complete these projects.
KPLC has gone
to satellite reading from the previous way of reading meters by KPLC personnel.
The introduction of prepaid metering has reduced the operational costs and
helped in reducing bad debts and the utility still hold onto consumer deposits.
The increase in fixed charges is thus not justifiable.
The tariff is based on long term marginal cost. From
the planned projects, renewable sources of energy are taking up the bulk share
both in the long term and short term plan which should translate to lower
tariffs due to reduced fuel costs as the thermal power plants will be scaled down
in the planned period. KP’s proposal does not take account of this reduction in
thermal power in the system.
In addition,
The timing for tariff increase is wrong as the devolution process will take
effect this year. Thus this should wait until the new dispensation takes place
and the draft energy policy is finalized and gazetted to give guidelines on
energy pricing and ownership of the utility services.
Kshs. 8 billion earmarked for way levies and other
levies in the proposal by KPLC to ERC as anticipated payments to local
authorities and Kenya Railway are presumptive and should not be factored in the
tariff until the policy dictates. This matter should await the outcome of the
energy policy currently under review.
For the period 2011-2016, the Non-Fuel Cost charges
are increasing as fuel cost component reduces. This is indicative of KPLC
trying to maintain the same level of revenues at current rate per unit of
energy without passing the benefit of reduced fuel costs to the consumer.
Moreover, KPLC does not plan to improve efficiencies in debt collection. KPLC
is budgeting for increase in bad debts at the same time asking for a tariff
increase!
The bad debt is projected by the company to even
increase from Kshs. 1.2 billion in 2013 to Kshs. 1.4 billion in 2014. It is
high time KPLC ups its game and desist from increasing power tariffs in response to its own inefficiencies. There
is a limit to what consumers can take and that limit has been passed. The
increase is just unacceptable to industry!
The writer is the chief executive of Kenya
Association of Manufacturers and can be reached on
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January 9, 2013 

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July 13, 2012



